A target of three more customers can require much more than three new customers. Some of the people already counted may leave before the target date. Replacing them takes work even when their replacements merely bring the total back to where it began.
Chapter 13 of Infinite Upside asks whether a promising group of contracts can be treated as a base for future years. Cancellation terms matter alongside the number signed. Follow that question into the work needed to reach the next customer count.
Three more accounts, nine new setups
Consider an invented plant-care service for offices. It has a base of forty accounts before a planned change for the new month. Six accounts end before that month begins, and nine new accounts begin on its first day. Every account in this example is distinct; none of the nine is a departing customer returning under a different name. The end-of-month total will be forty-three if nothing else changes.
Forty, less six, plus nine leaves forty-three accounts. The operation has gained three and taken on nine new setups.
For this illustration, every active account requires two hours of ordinary service across the month, including its travel and administration. Each new account requires another two hours that month to record the plants, agree access and set up the service. These invented estimates apply equally to all accounts here.
All six departures and their closing work are finished before the month begins. The nine new accounts start on the first day and receive the full month's service. The team has one hundred hours available for these ordinary services and setups after its other commitments. This is a workload comparison, not a profit calculation.
Forty-three accounts require eighty-six ordinary service hours. Nine setups add eighteen. The proposed month requires one hundred four hours against one hundred available.
The three-account gain fits comfortably inside a statement of the target. The work needed to deliver it does not fit the supplied schedule.
The same ending can contain less work
Now use a separate version of the month. All forty existing accounts stay, and three new accounts begin on the first day. The operation again reaches forty-three accounts and needs eighty-six ordinary service hours.
This time, three setups require six hours. The total is ninety-two, leaving eight of the one hundred hours unassigned.
The same original account base, ending count and net gain describe both versions. They conceal twelve hours of difference in setup work. Looking only at forty-three accounts cannot tell the scheduler which month they have promised.
The ninety-two-hour plan still needs workable visits and access times. A monthly total cannot place a gardener in two offices at once. The reading on busy periods examines that separate constraint. Here, the one-hundred-four-hour version already fails the simpler total-hours test.
Count every setup the target requires
The sales plan may list nine new accounts while the service plan adds time for only three. Both teams can be working from an accurate figure: sales counted starts, service counted the net gain. The mistake lies in using the second count to describe the first team's new commitments.
Keep the accounts leaving, the accounts beginning and the accounts continuing visible in the same plan. Then place the actual setup work beside the new starts. If a departure also requires collection, a final visit or a handover, add that work where it occurs. This example excluded it only by completing it before the month.
Knowing that some work happens once does not make it disappear from the first month. The next-customer resource follows a setup fee and the recurring result separately. The distinction here is how often the team has to do that initial work while pursuing a particular net gain.
For the nine-start version, someone must revise the four-hour gap before accepting the schedule. The team might agree a later start with some customers, arrange additional qualified help or change other commitments. Each needs an actual arrangement; asking people to finish faster does not change the supplied estimate.
Ask what the next count requires
Neither version explains why the six customers left. The company would need their actual circumstances and service records to investigate that question. It should not invent a retention success story from the second version or blame service quality solely from the first.
At the next review, ask for the route to the target as well as the target itself. Which existing accounts are expected to continue? How many new ones must begin? What work makes each start complete, and when can the responsible team do it?
A rising count can represent real growth. Show the starts and departures that the operation has to carry to get there.
Read alongside the book
Chapter 13, Choosing the Next Bet.
Original commentary and discussion material. Read the full personal accounts in Infinite Upside: Building Wealth With Room to Live, by Vijay Sheth.
Return to the expansion questions
Chapter 13: Choosing the Next Bet